Initial Market Cap is how PolitiCap sets the opening price and Politi Market Cap when a ticker is made tradeable (admin IPO). The formula is mechanical, published, and versioned so the desk can improve it without mystery.

Current formula version: mcap-1.5 (2026-08-24). Norm unit: TRUMPD = R = 1.

Virtual DutchBud (DBB) only. Not a real-money security. Not investment advice. Same rules for every listing.

What gets set at IPO

  • Outstanding shares: 1 000 000 (fixed)
  • Open = last = prev close: 10.00 × R DutchB
  • Politi Market Cap: open × outstanding
  • Float for sale: 20% · retained: 80% (product default)
  • Tradeable: yes — the tape can print

New listings start not tradeable until an admin runs IPO on the ticker page. Existing live names stay tradeable unless the desk re-rates them.

The score R

Every IPO computes a unitless score R relative to Trump:

  • R = 1.00 → open Ƀ10.00 → mcap Ƀ10 000 000 (TRUMPD norm)
  • R = 0.50 → open Ƀ5.00 → mcap Ƀ5 000 000
  • R = 0.30 → open Ƀ3.00 → mcap Ƀ3 000 000

Two tracks: politician (elected / appointed office) and TECH (business political capital — CEOs, founders, industrial geopolitics).

Track A — Politicians (mcap-1.5)

R = clamp(C × J × O × P × F × M × I, 0.05, 1.15)

Factor Meaning Highlights
C Country scale Soft size of the polity (pop/US)^0.35 in [0.20, 1.00]
J Jurisdiction National / regional / city / local 1.00 / 0.40 / 0.18 / 0.08
O Office rank Head of gov → council HoG 1.00 · cabinet 0.40 · MP 0.22 · mayor 0.65 · …
P Party weight Last relevant election vote share sqrt(share/0.50) in [0.30, 1.20]; unknown 0.40
F Party face How much they are the party brand primary 1.00 · top3 0.65 · senior 0.45 · member 0.25
M Mandate Personal / list strength Unknown defaults to 0.75
I Incumbency Sitting / elect / candidate / former 1.00 / 0.95 / 0.70 / 0.60

Dual-IPO anchors (e.g. XIJINP) may be forced to R = 1 by product rule.

Track B — TECH / political capital (mcap-1.5)

Officeholders and technologists are not the same animal. Party vote share does not apply. Country population must not silently rank a Chinese industrial figure above a US platform owner.

R = clamp(B × L × K, 0.05, 0.60)

Factor Meaning Values
B Capital band Primary dial global_apex 0.50 · global_major 0.30 · national_major 0.18 · sector 0.10 · niche 0.05
L Lever Optional modifier platform 1.15 · state_champion 1.10 · dual_use 1.05 · standard 1.00 · soft 0.90
K Contested attention Optional Default 1.00; clamp 0.85–1.15 — use sparingly

TECH ceiling R ≤ 0.60 (open ≤ Ƀ6) so the track cannot quietly approach Trump without a conscious dual-anchor decision.

Illustrative TECH opens (band × lever, K=1)

Example Band Lever R Open MCap
MUSKE Elon Musk global_apex platform 0.575 Ƀ5.75 Ƀ5.75M
Mark Zuckerberg (example) global_apex platform 0.575 Ƀ5.75 Ƀ5.75M
Jeff Bezos (example) global_apex soft 0.450 Ƀ4.50 Ƀ4.50M
MENGW Meng Wanzhou global_major state_champion 0.330 Ƀ3.30 Ƀ3.30M
Sam Altman (example) global_major dual_use 0.315 Ƀ3.15 Ƀ3.15M
Larry Ellison (example) global_major standard 0.300 Ƀ3.00 Ƀ3.00M

Band-only (lever = standard) reproduces the earlier ballpark anchors: apex → Ƀ5 / 5M, major → Ƀ3 / 3M.

How the desk runs it

  1. Open the ticker page while logged in as desk/admin.
  2. Press IPO — the API previews factors (inferred from office title + country, editable).
  3. For TECH listings, set capital band and optional lever.
  4. Agree & make tradeable — prices and tradeable flag commit; no interest book at this stage.

What this is not

  • Not a real equity valuation or wealth ranking.
  • Not a poll. Crowd trading moves the tape after IPO.
  • Not silent: factors and version are stored on the ticker at IPO time.

Formula changelog

Version Date Notes
mcap-1.5 2026-08-24 Current. TECH branch (B×L×K); politician path unchanged from mcap-v1; TECH R max 0.60.
mcap-v1 2026-08-24 Initial TRUMPD-normalized politician product C×J×O×P×F×M×I.

When the formula changes, this page gets a new version row and the API constant mcap.Version bumps. Older IPOs keep the version string stored at confirm time.

Product rules: PolitiCap desk. Implementation: politicap-api internal/mcap.